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Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean


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Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


777 
ABNT20 KNHC 161141
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Ernesto located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race,
Newfoundland.

A tropical wave located about 750 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and showers.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible over the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph toward the Windward Islands. By late
Saturday, unfavorable environmental conditions should limit the
chances for additional development while the system moves over
the eastern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system is
likely to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser
Antilles during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Tropical Storm Subtropical

  • Summary for Subtropical Storm Ernesto (AT5/AL052018)
    ...ERNESTO HEADING FOR COOLER WATERS... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Aug 16 the center of Ernesto was located near 42.0, -43.2 with movement NE at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tropical Storm Ernesto

  • Subtropical Storm Ernesto Public Advisory Number 6
    Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Aug 16 2018 168 WTNT35 KNHC 161451 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018 1100 AM AST Thu Aug 16 2018 ...ERNESTO HEADING FOR COOLER WATERS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.0N 43.2W ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 42.0 North, longitude 43.2 West. The storm is moving toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A significantly faster northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone tonight or early Friday, and merge with a frontal zone as it approaches Ireland and the United Kingdom late Saturday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) primarily to the east and southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown ]]>
  • Subtropical Storm Ernesto Forecast Advisory Number 6
    Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018
    
    169 
    WTNT25 KNHC 161451
    TCMAT5
    
    SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052018
    1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018
    
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.0N  43.2W AT 16/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  14 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
    34 KT.......120NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
    12 FT SEAS..130NE 170SE   0SW   0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.0N  43.2W AT 16/1500Z
    AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.6N  43.8W
    
    FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 43.9N  40.4W
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 46.7N  35.0W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 80NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 49.5N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 52.0N  19.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT...  0NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL ZONE
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.0N  43.2W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    
    
    
    
  • Subtropical Storm Ernesto Forecast Discussion Number 6
    Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Aug 16 2018
    
    219 
    WTNT45 KNHC 161452
    TCDAT5
    
    Subtropical Storm Ernesto Discussion Number   6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052018
    1100 AM AST Thu Aug 16 2018
    
    Convection developed closer to the center of Ernesto early this
    morning, suggesting that the system was attempting to make the
    transition to a tropical cyclone, but that area of convection has
    weakened within the past couple of hours.  Patches of deep
    convection continue over the outer portion of the circulation, and
    a very recent ASCAT overpass continues to show a rather large radius
    of maximum winds, indicating that Ernesto remains a subtropical
    cyclone.  The ASCAT data showed a large area of 35-40 kt winds over
    the eastern and southeastern portions of the circulation, so the
    initial wind speed has been increased to 40 kt.
    
    Ernesto has likely reached its peak intensity since it will be
    moving over much cooler SSTs later today, and the cyclone is
    expected to lose its subtropical characteristics late tonight or
    early Friday.  The post-tropical cyclone should be able to maintain
    its intensity due in part to its expected fast forward speed over
    the North Atlantic.  The global models indicate that the system will
    merge with a frontal zone as it approaches Ireland and the United
    Kingdom late Saturday.
    
    Ernesto has turned northeastward and is beginning to accelerate,
    and is now moving at around 14 kt.  The cyclone should be fully
    embedded within the mid-latitude westerlies within the next 24
    hours, and a significantly faster northeastward to
    east-northeastward motion is expected over the next couple of days.
    The track guidance continues to be in good agreement, and the new
    NHC official forecast is essentially an update of the previous
    advisory.
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  16/1500Z 42.0N  43.2W   40 KT  45 MPH
     12H  17/0000Z 43.9N  40.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
     24H  17/1200Z 46.7N  35.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
     36H  18/0000Z 49.5N  28.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
     48H  18/1200Z 52.0N  19.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
     72H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    
    
    
  • Subtropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
    Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018
    
    087 
    FONT15 KNHC 161452
    PWSAT5
                                                                        
    SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6       
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052018               
    1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018                                            
                                                                        
    AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR   
    LATITUDE 42.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
    
    
  • Subtropical Storm Ernesto Graphics

    Subtropical Storm Ernesto 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 16 Aug 2018 14:53:21 GMT


    Subtropical Storm Ernesto 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 16 Aug 2018 15:22:07 GMT

 

Eastern Pacific


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


981 
ABPZ20 KNHC 161135
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Aug 16 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lane, located over the far southwestern portion of the basin.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake


Tropical Storm Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Storm Lane (EP4/EP142018)
    ...LANE GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Aug 16 the center of Lane was located near 10.6, -127.6 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

Tropical Storm Lane

  • Tropical Storm Lane Public Advisory Number 7
    Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 16 2018 403 WTPZ34 KNHC 161455 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lane Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142018 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 16 2018 ...LANE GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.6N 127.6W ABOUT 1445 MI...2325 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 1935 MI...3115 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lane was located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 127.6 West. Lane is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is expected for the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Lane is forecast to become a hurricane by tomorrow and could become a major hurricane over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Lane Forecast Advisory Number 7
    Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018
    
    868 
    WTPZ24 KNHC 161455
    TCMEP4
     
    TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142018
    1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018
     
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
     
    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 127.6W AT 16/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
     
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
     
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
    50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
    12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
     
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 127.6W AT 16/1500Z
    AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 127.0W
     
    FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 10.8N 129.4W
    MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
    34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.2N 132.1W
    MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
    64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
    50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
    34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.7N 134.9W
    MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
    50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
    34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.2N 137.6W
    MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
    64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
    50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
    34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.5N 142.7W
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
    34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
     
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 14.7N 147.3W
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 15.3N 151.5W
    MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
     
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 127.6W
     
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
     
    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE
     
     
    
    
  • Tropical Storm Lane Forecast Discussion Number 7
    Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 16 2018
    
    858 
    WTPZ44 KNHC 161456
    TCDEP4
    
    Tropical Storm Lane Discussion Number   7
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142018
    800 AM PDT Thu Aug 16 2018
    
    Lane appears to be intensifying this morning, with a more symmetric
    presentation on satellite imagery and pulsing deep convection near
    the center.  A recent SSMI/S microwave pass indicates that an inner
    core is trying to form, although it isn't well defined yet. The
    current intensity estimates continue to display a large spread,
    ranging from the overnight scatterometer data at low-end tropical-
    storm strength, from hurricane strength in the TAFB Dvorak estimate.
    The initial wind speed is set to 50 kt with the increased
    organization, and this remains a low confidence estimate.
    
    While so far Lane has only been slowly intensifying, the large-scale
    environment appears favorable for more significant intensification
    to occur soon, especially with current signs of a primitive inner
    core. Thus the wind speed forecast will maintain the quick
    strengthening from the previous forecast, and there remains a
    significant chance that rapid intensification will occur during the
    next few days.  The biggest change from yesterday is that more of
    the global models are indicating that westerly shear could affect
    Lane in the central Pacific, so more weakening is shown at day 5.
    Otherwise, the new NHC intensity forecast is very close to the
    previous one and is on the higher side of the guidance.
    
    The initial motion estimate is 275/11.  The subtropical ridge to
    the north of Lane should continue to be the dominant steering
    mechanism, forcing the tropical cyclone to move westward or
    west-northwestward for the next several days.  While the model
    spread is low in the short range, it notably increases by days 4/5.
    The GFS-based guidance is showing Lane move slower than the rest of
    the guidance, which allows the eastern periphery of the ridge to
    erode due to an inverted mid-level trough, and consequently a more
    poleward motion of the cyclone.  The ECMWF and UKMET show Lane
    moving faster and basically missing any influence of that trough,
    causing the storm to move faster to the west.  There are no
    strong signals pointing me to either solution, so the official
    forecast follows the trend of the consensus, which ends up slightly
    west of the previous forecast.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  16/1500Z 10.6N 127.6W   50 KT  60 MPH
     12H  17/0000Z 10.8N 129.4W   60 KT  70 MPH
     24H  17/1200Z 11.2N 132.1W   75 KT  85 MPH
     36H  18/0000Z 11.7N 134.9W   85 KT 100 MPH
     48H  18/1200Z 12.2N 137.6W   95 KT 110 MPH
     72H  19/1200Z 13.5N 142.7W  105 KT 120 MPH
     96H  20/1200Z 14.7N 147.3W  105 KT 120 MPH
    120H  21/1200Z 15.3N 151.5W   95 KT 110 MPH
    
    $$
    Forecaster Blake
    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
    Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018
    
    386 
    FOPZ14 KNHC 161455
    PWSEP4
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7             
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142018               
    1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2018                                            
                                                                        
    AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
    10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
    50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                                          
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    10N 130W       34  3  24(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
    10N 130W       50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
    10N 130W       64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    10N 135W       34  X   1( 1)  22(23)   6(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
    10N 135W       50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
    10N 135W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    15N 135W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
     
    10N 140W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  13(19)   X(19)   X(19)
    10N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
    10N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
     
    15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  38(44)   1(45)   1(46)
    15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)
    15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   1(11)
     
    15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)  50(69)   3(72)
    15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  38(41)   2(43)
    15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   2(26)
     
    20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
     
    10N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
     
    15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  36(56)
    15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  23(29)
    15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)
     
    20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
    20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
    20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
     
    20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
    20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
    20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
     
    BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)
    BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
    BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
     
    20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
     
    15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)
    15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
    15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
     
    HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
     
    18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
     
    BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm Lane Graphics

    Tropical Storm Lane 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 16 Aug 2018 14:57:48 GMT


    Tropical Storm Lane 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 16 Aug 2018 15:28:17 GMT